**** Columbia Network Research Center Seminar **** Title: The Internet and lessons from history Speaker: Andrew Odlyzko AT&T Labs - Research When: Tuesday, March 6, 2001, 10 am Where: Interschool Lab, CEPSR Building, 7th floor Columbia University Refreshments will be served Abstract: While the record of technology forecasting is generally dismal, there are exceptions. For example, reliance on Moore's Law in its many forms has been extremely successful. There are also repeating patterns in the history of communications. Combined with Moore's Law, they predict that some current efforts are misdirected, and numerous opportunities are neglected. As example of the predictions that history suggests, it is connectivity and not content that will matter the most on the Internet. Voice and not data is likely to be the main application of 3G wireless. Streaming media will not dominate the Internet. The potential of the rapidly improving magnetic storage technologies is not being fully exploited. Bio: Andrew Odlyzko is Head of the Mathematics and Cryptography Research Department at AT&T Labs. He has done extensive research in technical areas such as computational complexity, cryptography, number theory, combinatorics, coding theory, analysis, and probability theory. He has managed projects in security, formal verification methods, parallel and distributed computation, and auction technology. In recent years he has also been working on electronic publishing, electronic commerce, and economics of data networks. His home page is .