**** Columbia Network Research Group Seminar **** Title: Does TCP Produce Self-Similar Traffic? Speaker: Prof. Don Towsley Univ. of Massachusetts, Amherst When: Wednesday, September 5, 2001 - 2 pm Where: Interschool Lab Seventh Floor, CEPSR building Columbia University Host: Prof. D. Rubenstein ABSTRACT The short answer is ``No.'' Contrary to recent claims made in the literature that TCP congestion control creates self-similar traffic, we show here that under realistic conditions, the traffic generated by a long-lived TCP connection, while exhibiting pronounced correlations over a finite range of time sales, is not consistent with long-range dependence or (asymptotic) self-similarity. Our conclusion is supported by a careful statistical analysis of TCP trace data and by analytical results derived from a versatile and well-established Markovian model of TCP. In particular, we analyze the same TCP traces used in previous studies to ``prove'' that TCP creates self-similar traffic, but by avoiding a number of pitfalls associated with inferring self-similar characteristics, we arrive at a conclusion that directly contradicts the claim of self-similarity but that fully conforms to the behavior predicted by the analytic TCP model. This work points out the importance of careful trace analysis and detailed examination (and cross validation) of alternative explanations when establishing or characterizing the generality of any particular finding about Internet traffic. Joint work with A. Feldman, R. Figueiredo, B. Liu, V. Misra, W. Willinger